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I agree that corporations taking bigger share of GDP is a good point (possibly because of technology / automation / information economy?), but “stock valuations
by tomp 7y ago
I agree that corporations taking bigger share of GDP is a good point (possibly because of technology / automation / information economy?), but “stock valuations have increased faster than either profits or the economy” is a red herring.
The fair value of a company is the net present value of future profits. To calculate NPV, you take some profit in the future, and discount it to the present by dividing it with the discount rate (usually inflation or risk-free rate), and repeat. Due to FED’s quantitative easing, the discount rate has been historically low for the past decade!
- jacques_chester 7y agoThis is true, but there were runups like this before the Federal Reserve. Quite a few, as it happens. What, for example, is the NPV of a tulip bulb? Or a share in the South Sea Company?