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While I think it's good for pedagogical purposes to have a catalogue of many examples of where our thinking goes wrong, I worry that these lists can give off th
by owenshen24 7y ago
While I think it's good for pedagogical purposes to have a catalogue of many examples of where our thinking goes wrong, I worry that these lists can give off the wrong idea that our thinking is broken in so many "different" ways.
In some sense, many of these biases seem like specific instances of a more general phenomenon. For example, illusion of control and pareidolia both seem like they'd arise if you buy into the brain as doing [predictive processing](https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/09/05/book-review-surfing-uncertainty/ https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/09/05/book-review-surfing-un...). So it's not exactly that we have over 100 ways that our thinking goes wrong, but that the same types of mistakes occur in different ways.
In which case, for preventative reasons, knowing the core mechanism at play seems much more important. Similarly, I feel that lists of mental models might also be missing the point; no one can really go through a list of 100+ items to figure out which one is at play. You're going to need a smaller, more general toolkit.
- perfmode 7y agowhat toolkit do you use?
- owenshen24 7y agoI don't have something that feels comprehensive yet, but another more general concept aside from predictive processing that I've been thinking about is substituting a hard thing for an easy thing, if the easy thing looks like the hard thing. Examples: - Following through the steps of a proof vs covering up the proof and doing it yourself - Asking yourself if something sounds familiar instead of trying to summarize it - Criticizing an idea instead of adding a new one or suggesting an improvement