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The excellent book "Paradoxes in Probability Theory" by William Eckhardt has some good arguments against this, the Simulation Hypothesis, and similar things. On
by currymj 7y ago
The excellent book "Paradoxes in Probability Theory" by William Eckhardt has some good arguments against this, the Simulation Hypothesis, and similar things. One simple way to summarize the counterargument is that in a lot of cases, the choice of seemingly-reasonable priors actually hides an unreasonable assumption that it is possible for the future to change the past.