3 ms·

All this - being spied on 100% of the time - ostensibly to prevent something that has about a 1 in 600,000,000 chance of happening to you, ever. Oh but it must

All this - being spied on 100% of the time - ostensibly to prevent something that has about a 1 in 600,000,000 chance of happening to you, ever. Oh but it must be a real and ever-present danger - I saw it on the news! By that logic we should have facial recognition too, just to make sure JLo doesn't walk in. She's been all over the news for 20 years, so it must be an epidemic. The critique in this article focuses on technological unreliability without addressing the profound wrongheadedness of the idea in the first place. Perhaps that's been discussed plenty elsewhere, but I for one could stand to have that part of the critique repeated ad infinitum until it sinks in.

bagels 7y ago
The probability is orders of magnitude larger than this. https://medium.com/@hellodonavon/what-are-the-chances-of-your-child-being-in-a-school-shooting-df2073f8b86b https://medium.com/@hellodonavon/what-are-the-chances-of-you...
- lonelappde 7y ago
  1.5% lifetime chance of attending a school with a shooting. that's a super wide net. We almost all have friends who have been murdered or died in car accidents or cancer. 1.5% of merely knowing someone in a school shooting is tiny.
  - bagels 7y ago
    1/600,000,000 was made up and wrong, sorry
- deogeo 7y ago
  What an utterly garbage article. "what are the chances that your child’s school will be in a shooting at some point in their life"? Why ask such an irrelevant, convoluted question* , instead of the obvious: what are you child's chances of being killed in a school shooting? Because it turns out the chance for that is 1 in 35 thousand (per lifetime, not per year) [1] [1] Using 118 school shooting deaths/year from 2018, which was the worst year ever, according to https://www.bbc.com/news/business-46507514 https://www.bbc.com/news/business-46507514, 13.41 mean years of schooling from http://data.uis.unesco.org/index.aspx?queryid=242 http://data.uis.unesco.org/index.aspx?queryid=242, and 78.69 years life expectancy. * Of course we all know why - because the author doesn't hesitate to mislead with creative statistics to push an agenda. Edit, to add some context and explanation: Using mean_years_of_schooling/life_expectancy to get an estimate on the number of students in the USA. Now the chance of being killed in any homicide, in the same period of time as mean years of schooling, is 1 in 1400. 25-times larger. And homicides aren't close to the biggest killer: https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2019/05/Causes-of-death-in-USA-vs.-media-coverage.png https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2019/05/Causes-of-death-i...
aaron695 7y ago
> 1 in 600,000,000 It's a strange ball park, why 600,000,000? US has ~300,000,000 so you'd be saying there's a ~50% chance it won't happen in the US in a ~lifetime.

bagels 7y ago

The probability is orders of magnitude larger than this. https://medium.com/@hellodonavon/what-are-the-chances-of-your-child-being-in-a-school-shooting-df2073f8b86b https://medium.com/@hellodonavon/what-are-the-chances-of-you...

lonelappde 7y ago
1.5% lifetime chance of attending a school with a shooting. that's a super wide net. We almost all have friends who have been murdered or died in car accidents or cancer. 1.5% of merely knowing someone in a school shooting is tiny.
- bagels 7y ago
  1/600,000,000 was made up and wrong, sorry
deogeo 7y ago
What an utterly garbage article. "what are the chances that your child’s school will be in a shooting at some point in their life"? Why ask such an irrelevant, convoluted question* , instead of the obvious: what are you child's chances of being killed in a school shooting? Because it turns out the chance for that is 1 in 35 thousand (per lifetime, not per year) [1] [1] Using 118 school shooting deaths/year from 2018, which was the worst year ever, according to https://www.bbc.com/news/business-46507514 https://www.bbc.com/news/business-46507514, 13.41 mean years of schooling from http://data.uis.unesco.org/index.aspx?queryid=242 http://data.uis.unesco.org/index.aspx?queryid=242, and 78.69 years life expectancy. * Of course we all know why - because the author doesn't hesitate to mislead with creative statistics to push an agenda. Edit, to add some context and explanation: Using mean_years_of_schooling/life_expectancy to get an estimate on the number of students in the USA. Now the chance of being killed in any homicide, in the same period of time as mean years of schooling, is 1 in 1400. 25-times larger. And homicides aren't close to the biggest killer: https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2019/05/Causes-of-death-in-USA-vs.-media-coverage.png https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2019/05/Causes-of-death-i...

aaron695 7y ago

> 1 in 600,000,000 It's a strange ball park, why 600,000,000? US has ~300,000,000 so you'd be saying there's a ~50% chance it won't happen in the US in a ~lifetime.