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Job is a rather loaded term. How, exactly, are we defining it here? If your job was to weld two pieces of metal together and a robot now welds those pieces of m
by randomdata 7y ago
Job is a rather loaded term. How, exactly, are we defining it here? If your job was to weld two pieces of metal together and a robot now welds those pieces of metal together, but you transitioned to oversee the operation for quality control, strictly speaking, you lost your job to automation, but you didn't lose your 'job'.
Will two million people per year give up tasks they currently do to robots? Probably. That doesn't seem unrealistic at all. Will two million more people per year find themselves in the unemployment line? Probably not.
What's interesting is that (in the US), while manufacturing represented a larger share of the workforce in the past, the absolute number of people involved in manufacturing is relatively unchanged. The so-called decline of manufacturing is more a result of population growth than anything. Automation has allowed individuals to produce more, but it hasn't eliminated the people. The jobs that they do have no doubt changed considerably due to automation.