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Everything is bullshit until is not, humans were talking about transportation without using animal forces for decades before it became a reality, and a lot of p
by mattigames 7y ago
Everything is bullshit until is not, humans were talking about transportation without using animal forces for decades before it became a reality, and a lot of people were highly skeptical of such thing being even possible until it actually happened in 1804 (first steam train), same thing happens with Artificial Intelligence, and we are in such uncharted territory that someone could say AGI is just 10 years away and someone else say 100 years away and both get the same amount of credibility, meaning near none cause we don't even know what is that we don't know to achieve AGI.
- tim333 7y agoUnless you believe the Kurzweil argument that we will figure what is needed from reverse engineering the human brain in which case you guestimate a timeline.
- dboreham 7y agoYour example isn't quite as it seems : "trains" (cars running on rails) were used in mining for hundreds of years prior. The steam engine was first documented in 1698. What happened in 1804 was someone figured out the manufacturing processes to make a steam engine light enough and powerful enough to usefully pull a train of cars over some reasonable distance.