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But why is "throwing a black box at it" good? The goal of research is usually to rip those boxes open to figure out what's inside and how it works. Moving away
by mattkrause 7y ago
But why is "throwing a black box at it" good?
The goal of research is usually to rip those boxes open to figure out what's inside and how it works. Moving away from that towards opaque predictions doesn't make a lot of sense to me, especially when the predictions aren't even that much better. Plus, a lot of this work seems weirdly disconnected from what the rest of the field knows to be (im)plausible.
Obviously, black boxes can be useful tools. DeepLabCut is incredibly helpful and will save a lot of grad students a lot of tedium, and that probably wouldn't happen if it involved a lot of tuning. Predictions can also be very useful--frankly, we'll take anything we can get for most neuropsych conditions--but mechanisms and targets for intervention are so much more useful. I know there is some work on this, but it's drown out by the 0.99AUC!!1!! (in a small, cherrypicked group) stuff.
- hadsed 7y agoBlack boxes are better than nothing. The ultimate black box is the universe, where experimental scientists can fiddle to try and understand. They give a great starting point to make progress, if that's what you want, and if not (like in some commerical applications) you have something that works (ish).