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Not success to Iranian oil, long-term access to oil from the region by gaining and maintaining the strategic upper hand.
by 13415 7y ago
Not success to Iranian oil, long-term access to oil from the region by gaining and maintaining the strategic upper hand.
- zaroth 7y agoIf Iran blocked the Strait, it’s mostly Europe that would suffer at this point. Personally I think it would be interesting to see EU have to defend its interests in the Middle East patrolling the Strait. There’s no need for the US to be doing it ourselves this time around. But if you mean something other than Iran blocking free passage in international waters, you’ll have to clarify.
- 13415 7y agoThe Strait is one motivation, yes, but I was also talking more generally about the strategic balance in the region. Iran and Syria are the last countries in the region loosely aligned with Russia, and Iran is a major disruptive factor in the region. By destroying and occupying Iran like the US did with Iraq, in theory the majority of countries in the region would become subjugated by the US, hence long-term access to oil. Not that I think this strategy could ever work, but obviously similar thinking was also behind the Iraq invasion (in addition to the unfulfilled "promises" made by the CIA during the first Iraq war, which were a thorn in some of G.W.Bush's advisors).