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Yeah; it'd be great if they'd post likelihood ratios: For example, if I live in Florida, a shark attack hotspot, and like to go swimming at night--shark feeding
by khafra 16y ago
Yeah; it'd be great if they'd post likelihood ratios: For example, if I live in Florida, a shark attack hotspot, and like to go swimming at night--shark feeding time--what are my chances now?
- brlewis 16y agoMy takeaway from the article is that I should spend no time thinking about shark attacks since it's only a distraction from the much larger danger of drowning, The pig statistic is mere distraction too.
- khafra 16y agoWell, .00000003% or so of the US population gets eaten by sharks every year, so there must be some circumstances under which it becomes a significant risk. The question is whether those circumstances are identifiable enough to be worth the cognitive load of avoiding: If 90% of shark attacks happened to people swimming at night in Florida, and only .00000006% of the US population actually swims at night in Florida, it might be an activity worth avoiding.