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The problem with examining from the 'create your own luck' angle is that it's prone to survivorship bias. There are incredibly brilliant people out there workin
by fzeroracer 7y ago
The problem with examining from the 'create your own luck' angle is that it's prone to survivorship bias. There are incredibly brilliant people out there working hard in order to succeed, but end up having little success despite positioning themselves in all the right places.
This notion also tends to ignore the people that can fail upwards: They reach positions or become managers that they're not at all qualified at, but end up doing well through a few lucky rolls of the dice. I'm sure we'd all like to say that eventually this comes back around to bite them in the rear, but unfortunately that would imply a just world fallacy.
- oreo83 7y ago>There are incredibly brilliant people out there working hard in order to succeed, but end up having little success despite positioning themselves in all the right places. Then they aren't as brilliant as they think or don't work as hard as they think.
- joyjoyjoy 7y agoSpot on. I always assumed I am the smartest but during my PhD I met people that I considered far smarter then me. Some of the brightest made no career at all. This made me more humble and also forgive myself a little for my non career.
- notenoughbeans 7y agoIt seems to me that hard work is a necessary (in most cases) but not sufficient condition for success. Anecdotally, my least successful friends and acquaintances are those who do not work hard and blame their lack of success on bad luck.