What won't be obvious, but at some point will tip over and wreak havoc on the industry, will be AI generated films. You might think of the poor quality deepfak

What won't be obvious, but at some point will tip over and wreak havoc on the industry, will be AI generated films. You might think of the poor quality deepfakes when I say that, but we are in the baby stages of something far more powerful. Imagine if it was possible to autogenerate a script/story, then autogenerate scenery, music and humans to play out that story. There is AI work already going on in each of those areas, and as the quality improves, it will become an obvious next step to put it all together into a single Movie Machine, of sorts, that can remix existing movies (I think the first wave), and/or synthesize movies completely from scratch based on various parameters you provide (e.g., 'a movie like star wars, but with an all female cast', or 'an inspiring movie about dogs', etc). It is not a matter of "if" this day will come, but simply "when". I think 10-15 years is very possible. We'll have audio software that generates all the music we could want in a single app, have a single book app that generates any novel in any genre we want, or creates videos/movies we want from a single application. How could humans compete with their 1-5 movies a year against a computer app that could generate 5 movies a minute? I think it could easily find its way into Youtube first, as there is much less to lose, and far more to gain, from short videos that capture attention. With apps used by content creators to create music, or help with VFx, etc, to eventually generating entirely new videos without requiring the content creator to do any work, and they will jump at the chance if it gets them more subscribers. There will come a day, when there is a really popular film, that was completely created by a computer. That day will come not in a 100 years, but in the next decade or two.