We're working on something like this: https://causal.app https://causal.app :) Guesstimate is awesome, but their team sadly stopped working on it a while back.

We're working on something like this: https://causal.app https://causal.app :) Guesstimate is awesome, but their team sadly stopped working on it a while back. It's definitely early days for automated inference, but I think giving people the tools to build "static" (non-learning) models that can account for uncertainty is hugely valuable in itself. You need serious gymnastics to do this in spreadsheets right now, and I wouldn't wish Excel's probabilistic plugins (Palisade @RISK, Oracle Crystal Ball) on anyone. But progress towards the "inference button" dream is starting to accelerate: - Tensorflow recently got its own PPL [1] - The first international conference on probabilistic programming was held (PROBPROG 2018) [2] - Lots of PPL development going on in tech companies: Uber, FB, Google, Microsoft, Stripe, Improbable, etc. [1]: https://www.tensorflow.org/probability https://www.tensorflow.org/probability [2]: https://probprog.cc/ https://probprog.cc/