Additionally the data points for the low-fertility countries are extremely reliable, while the data for the few countries with supposedely rapidly expanding pop

Additionally the data points for the low-fertility countries are extremely reliable, while the data for the few countries with supposedely rapidly expanding population is only guesswork. Most of the projected population increase in Africa is based upon a small number of countries like Nigeria, where most of the people live on the countryside, and there never have been reliable census to accurately predict the future population. The only thing we know is that Africans moving to cities stop having many children, and that the fertlity rate in the richer African areas is rapidly decreasing. In Northern and Southern Africa the fertlity rate is already below 2.5, approaching sub-replacement levels. [1] Which means it is definitely possible that the entire world will be entering sub-replacement level in the coming decades. Unfortunately the African coutries with a high-fertility projection haven an interest in lying about their numbers, because it means more NGO money and political influence. [2] The country with the lowest fertility rate in the world is South Korea, which has a fertility rate of <1. [3] South-Korea is facing extinction. [4] Additionally there are hints that China is lying about their population numbers as well. [5] India, which is the most populated country in the world, has already fallen to sub-replacement levels in almost all counties, and stands at a fertility rate of 2.2, as of 2017. [6] [1] https://ourworldindata.org/fertility-rate https://ourworldindata.org/fertility-rate [2] https://qz.com/africa/1221472/the-story-of-how-nigerias-census-figures-became-weaponized/ https://qz.com/africa/1221472/the-story-of-how-nigerias-cens... [3] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/sep/03/south-koreas-fertility-rate-set-to-hit-record-low https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/sep/03/south-koreas-f... [4] https://www.businessinsider.com/south-koreans-could-be-extinct-by-2750-2015-6?IR=T https://www.businessinsider.com/south-koreans-could-be-extin... [5] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/china/china-has-been-overstating-its-population-numbers-since-1990-says-us-academic/articleshow/58835756.cms https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/china/china-has-be... [6] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_states_and_union_territories_of_India_by_fertility_rate https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_states_and_union_terri...