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I basically agree with you, but after some head scratching, I think I follow their argument, which seems to be this: 1. Lack of higher reasoning is a disadvant
by adrianmonk 7y ago
I basically agree with you, but after some head scratching, I think I follow their argument, which seems to be this:
1. Lack of higher reasoning is a disadvantage that self-driving cars won't escape any time soon.
2. But SDCs can more than make up for that by making fewer dumb mistakes, giving them a better overall safety.
3. However, if you use machines to take away the dumb mistakes from humans, you change that equation, and the overall stats could go the other direction.
In reality, I don't think it's that simple. When ABS was newer, they studied it (https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/811182 https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/...) and found that ABS improved overall safety, but safety paradoxically got worse in slick conditions (rain, snow, ice). The effects of safety improvements aren't always what you'd expect, so theorizing doesn't tell you much.