According to this article there have been significant improvements in weather prediction in the past few decades: https://science.sciencemag.org/content/363/642

According to this article there have been significant improvements in weather prediction in the past few decades: https://science.sciencemag.org/content/363/6425/342 https://science.sciencemag.org/content/363/6425/342 > A modern 5-day forecast is as accurate as a 1-day forecast was in 1980, and useful forecasts now reach 9 to 10 days into the future (1). Predictions have improved for a wide range of hazardous weather conditions, including hurricanes, blizzards, flash floods, hail, and tornadoes, with skill emerging in predictions of seasonal conditions. > ... Data from the NOAA National Hurricane Center (NHC) (13) show that forecast errors for tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin have fallen rapidly in recent decades.