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I hit quite a wall of cognitive dissonence when I read their enumeration of a "middle future." Transparent? Human-time-focused? maintainable? Those properti
by existencebox 7y ago
I hit quite a wall of cognitive dissonence when I read their enumeration of a "middle future."
Transparent? Human-time-focused? maintainable? Those properties aren't true of the present, nor have they been true for any large swath of human history that I'm aware of.
What's odd about this is that I agree with the crux of their statement, most futurism is focused on the extremes, and the sheer mundanity of how the "current future" has panned out often isn't well captured. However, I don't find their alternative persuasively different, and it seems to fall prey to exactly what they're criticizing ala utopianism.
I think fundamentally my issue is that a human centric view of the future seems as utopian as anything else they describe, vs a more realistic view to my eyes (and why dystopias resonate with me), driven by the same incentives that have, do, and will for the forseeable future continue to motivate us: Increased growth, rate of return, and efficiency, focused in the areas that most benefit those with incumbent power.
So rather than just saying "they're wrong let's all be pessimists" let me transition this into an open question. How do we realign incentives such that the article's aspirations are more reflective of where we see corps investing their effort? (This probably is a total rathole for even one of their enumerations, ala transportation, but it's where my head is at when I read this.)
- sacomo 7y agoThe status quo understands that the `utopia` of the future (the shiny versions) will not be achieved under the current economic / political paradigms. They are afraid of losing their centers of power and for them it is easier to discourage systemic change. That is all this boils down to. Eventually we will all need to come to grips with the systemic changes required to move forward. I just hope it happens before they get their Elysium.
- wwweston 7y ago> Transparent? Human-time-focused? maintainable? Those properties aren't true of the present, nor have they been true for any large swath of human history that I'm aware of. Of course, neither are jet packs, autonomous vehicles, and AI assistants. We're trying to bring those technologies into existence. But that may not be enough to make for a brighter future. We may also have to bring institutions organized around better values into existence.