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It’s certainly more comforting to imagine that Xi is losing all four wars. But I do not see effective opposition anywhere. The party has lost, hence the removal
by heraclius 7y ago
It’s certainly more comforting to imagine that Xi is losing all four wars. But I do not see effective opposition anywhere. The party has lost, hence the removal of term limits. There is no effective protest in Xinjiang or Tibet. HK will soon follow once pan-democrats can be extradited and executed. China has the advantage in the South China Sea in that it has the equivalent of several aircraft carriers in the islands it controls under the status quo. It is only the trade war that might go awry for Xi, and rare earths are a relatively credible threat.
I would however withdraw money, because loss on those fronts isn’t necessary to cause unhelpful instability.
- taiwanboy 7y agoSo for the political conflict, it’s loss for xi for the moment because the trade deal was rejected by the old guards. For the internal conflicts, Hong Kong is a wildcard and I wouldn’t count out how powerful a shutdown of the Hong Kong economy is. For the neighbor conflicts, Philippines and Australia used to be somewhat on the Chinese side but that has completely flipped the last year or two. Philippines just slammed China today for sinking Philippines fishing boat and called them ‘cowardly’. And the pro China members were voted out in Australia governments. As for Taiwan, it has got bolstered support from US, new arms deal, and its top presidential candidates have distanced themselves from China