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Are these numbers matching predictions? "forecasts a temperature rise of 2.5 to 10 degrees Fahrenheit over the next century." [1]. I might be wrong but I feel
by lelima 7y ago
Are these numbers matching predictions?
"forecasts a temperature rise of 2.5 to 10 degrees Fahrenheit over the next century." [1].
I might be wrong but I feel like the temperatures are getting higher quicker than we think.
[1]: https://climate.nasa.gov/effects/ https://climate.nasa.gov/effects/
- mywittyname 7y agoI believe the estimated rise is for global mean temperatures but the linked article is discussing a local peak temperature, which aren't really comparable units. This fundamental misunderstanding is likely what prevents people from really understanding the impact of global warming. After all, a 2.5° difference is well within the daily temperature variance or every region of the US. It takes a decent understanding of statistics to understand that an 5% increase in an average translates to a very large increase in the frequency of rare events at the extreme. I.e., a 1 inch increase in average human height translates into something like a 10-100x increase in the number of people over 7ft tall, yet a set of brothers may vary in height by much more than an inch.