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Population should level out around 11B, assuming no big surprises/shocks. And people aren't hungry for a more CO2 intense lifestyle - just a richer one. That's
by beat 7y ago
Population should level out around 11B, assuming no big surprises/shocks. And people aren't hungry for a more CO2 intense lifestyle - just a richer one. That's why getting off fossil fuels is so incredibly vital. Luckily, I think that moment is upon us, and we'll see fossil use die off over the next few decades. Renewables aren't just cleaner, they're cheaper now.
And I don't think your chart proves your point. While the absolute number of births has increased, it has increased far less than the population as a whole (the population has tripled since 1951 - the increase in number of births is less than half the increase in number of people). Keep scrolling down the page of your link, and you see massive, massive declines in birthrates worldwide, with an extensive list of reasons why.
So why would you think "there may be other phenomena emerging that counteract it"? Like what? Are you sure you aren't just clinging to a belief in population spiraling out of control that is at odds with observed facts? Because what you believe is what most people believe. And it's wrong.
- bubblewrap 7y agoYour belief that everything could just be solved with renewables is incredibly naive. It's simply not proven that it can be done yet. And even renewables produce a lot of CO2. Even if they produce less than fossile fuels, the needs for 11 Billion people would be significant. A richer lifestyle means more CO2. I don't even know where you get your beliefs from, that CO2 neutral life would be easy and cheap. As for counteracting phenomena: again, it is not a law of nature that birth rates drop as people get wealthier. Even now for example there are subgroups in wealthy nations that still have high birth rates. I'm not saying it WILL happen, just that it can. And 50 years are not a very long timespan to observe to be assured about the effect of dropping birth rates.