3 ms·
The WHO reports are very informative as well: https://www.who.int/ebola/situation-reports/drc-2018/en/ https://www.who.int/ebola/situation-reports/drc-2018/en/
by Balgair 7y ago
The WHO reports are very informative as well: https://www.who.int/ebola/situation-reports/drc-2018/en/ https://www.who.int/ebola/situation-reports/drc-2018/en/
The latest report (4 June 2019): https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/325126/SITREP_EVD_DRC_20190602-eng.pdf https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/325126/SITR...
Figure 1 on Page 3 is a good-ish overall representation of the situation. Ebola is sustaining itself. It hasn't gone geometric yet, but it could at nearly any time, if not already.
One important thing to note is that though it may seem that in the last 3 weeks the epidemic has been tapering off, that is an artifact of the reporting situation there. There is a significant lag in identification of deaths and causes. Feel free to look back over the other reports to see this reporting lag effects.
Another thing to note is that North-Kivu province is about the same size as West Virginia with about 2.5X the population. Goma, the capital there, has a population of about that of San Jose proper.
Combined with other sources that other HNers have linked, the Nature article is correct to sound the alarm here. The Ebola fighters are trying their best (despite the complicated social situations, weather, gear, humidity, and resource limitations), but Ebola is not quitting either. This situation is not something to wave away and is very deserving of international attention.