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> Such speculation of voting intentions is disingenuous. For Brexit, maybe. It was at least a mass vote with an uncertain outcome. But this was a vote which wa
by Bartweiss 7y ago
> Such speculation of voting intentions is disingenuous.
For Brexit, maybe. It was at least a mass vote with an uncertain outcome. But this was a vote which was literally guaranteed to fail - the one thing which can't explain it is the 'normal' pattern where people vote for a result to get that result. It's like watching Congress pass a bill that the President has promised to veto, knowing they can't override the veto. It has to be tactical voting, simply because it can't be anything else.
More concretely, there were two votes happening today - to oust Zuckerberg as chairman, and to end dual class stock. It was common knowledge that both were doomed, so all we can do is see what they suggested. 68% of outside investors supported the ouster, so we see a 17 point rise in the show of no-confidence from the same vote last year. Meanwhile 83% supported ending dual class stock, suggesting a 15-point spread of investors arguing they want more of a say, but are showing confidence in Zuckerberg's chairmanship. Questioning whether those 68% actually want Zuckerberg gone seems entirely fair, because taking the vote at face value would imply they're acting like King Canute, and didn't even understand what they were investing in.
- marvin-83 7y agoI would agree that voting results where the outcome was known ahead-of-time should be considered with caution. Such information undoubtedly influences both how votes are cast and who decides to cast a vote.