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I would compare it to telling Wright brothers after their first airplane flight that we will land on the Moon in 66 years. If there will be a reason to do it, w
by Isinlor 7y ago
I would compare it to telling Wright brothers after their first airplane flight that we will land on the Moon in 66 years. If there will be a reason to do it, we will. Still, I would agree that we will have close to 100% effective recycling of metals before we will start bringing them to Earth from space.
But in time we will start to utilize space resources.
SpaceX, Blue Origin will latch to any possibility to make money in space.
Space mining is exactly how Bezos thinks O'Neill cylinder could be built in 100-200 years.
BTW - You could bet for worthless internet points on Metaculus:
> Will any asteroid or comet have been mined in space for commercial purposes before 2030?
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1662/will-any-asteroid-or-comet-have-been-mined-in-space-for-commercial-purposes-before-2030/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1662/will-any-asteroid-o...
My prediction is 10% :) .