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It goes back and forth, and the Democrats grabbed an early lead in Big Data to insure Obama's victory in 2012, but I think they seriously underestimate the abil

It goes back and forth, and the Democrats grabbed an early lead in Big Data to insure Obama's victory in 2012, but I think they seriously underestimate the ability of republican operators to catch up and game the existing system. They've been at this for decades and they play a very long game. That's how Republican candidates can lose the popular vote yet win the electoral college. I see no sign of the Democrats playing catch-up for 2020 and I think they are in for a rude awakening despite our current leader's seemingly low numbers because that guy brings out his base. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_strategy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Southern_strategy

rossdavidh 7y ago
The electoral college is, by original design, intended to keep the few large (population-wise) states from dominating the federal government. In other words, not much about it works as originally designed, but the one thing that does is what it did in 2016, which was to guarantee that you cannot dominate federal government if you ignore rural and small states. Which, given the Democrats urban emphasis, means it is biased against them, not as an accident or via a loophole, but by original design. I don't know that the Republicans deserve a lot of credit for seeing this, it was no secret, it was the original stated intention of giving each state 2 senators, and making electoral college votes equal senators plus representatives. One does have to ask, though, why the Democrats have resolutely refused to acknowledge that this is how the electoral college works, and pay more attention to winning in rural and small states.
- varelse 7y ago
  >One does have to ask, though, why the Democrats have resolutely refused to acknowledge that this is how the electoral college works, and pay more attention to winning in rural and small states. Nailed it. I lost almost all respect for Hillary Clinton when she refused to campaign there whilst Trump, all of my dislike for him and his ideology aside, campaigned there and truly earned every vote he got. Doubly so when her own husband, all of his failings aside someone insanely great on the campaign trail himself, urged her to do so. https://wtvr.com/2016/11/11/bill-clinton-strategy/ https://wtvr.com/2016/11/11/bill-clinton-strategy/

rossdavidh 7y ago

The electoral college is, by original design, intended to keep the few large (population-wise) states from dominating the federal government. In other words, not much about it works as originally designed, but the one thing that does is what it did in 2016, which was to guarantee that you cannot dominate federal government if you ignore rural and small states. Which, given the Democrats urban emphasis, means it is biased against them, not as an accident or via a loophole, but by original design. I don't know that the Republicans deserve a lot of credit for seeing this, it was no secret, it was the original stated intention of giving each state 2 senators, and making electoral college votes equal senators plus representatives. One does have to ask, though, why the Democrats have resolutely refused to acknowledge that this is how the electoral college works, and pay more attention to winning in rural and small states.

varelse 7y ago
>One does have to ask, though, why the Democrats have resolutely refused to acknowledge that this is how the electoral college works, and pay more attention to winning in rural and small states. Nailed it. I lost almost all respect for Hillary Clinton when she refused to campaign there whilst Trump, all of my dislike for him and his ideology aside, campaigned there and truly earned every vote he got. Doubly so when her own husband, all of his failings aside someone insanely great on the campaign trail himself, urged her to do so. https://wtvr.com/2016/11/11/bill-clinton-strategy/ https://wtvr.com/2016/11/11/bill-clinton-strategy/