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Not at all. I believe (although have nothing but “feelings“ to back up my opinion) that the age of grand discoveries made by a single individual which uncovers
by holografix 7y ago
Not at all. I believe (although have nothing but “feelings“ to back up my opinion) that the age of grand discoveries made by a single individual which uncovers some fundamental law of nature is over.
Transformative technologies of the kind that can impact all of humankind will most likely be done by a team of very high IQ individuals backed by a mega-corp or a state, most likely coming out of China or the US.
In the next 100 years ML algorithms and the underlying hardware will improve to a point where it’ll maintain context across a longer timeframe than humans are able to and will not only process large data volumes at random to stumble on something that works but it’ll use previously available knowledge across 50 years+ in order not to waste time in useless research directions.
Much like every other major technology I don’t believe these algorithms will exist in isolation and the tech will surface a multiple geographical places on earth.
These ML algorithms will work hand in hand with humanity to create the next transformative technologies and uncover the next set of fundamental laws of nature.
- xenocratus 7y agoJust as much backed only by feelings: I think progress will be brought by teams, but not necessarily made up of "very high IQ individuals". I think incremental progress and community-driven improvements to technology will gradually take us to a new level of integration with the world and with each other. At the same time I think we can't imagine too well how this will look like, much like how the sci-fi predictions about the world today were only tangentially correct.