A better analogy is that one of your star players (ice sheet stability) maybe isn't as good as you thought he was (turns out snow accumulation > surface melting

A better analogy is that one of your star players (ice sheet stability) maybe isn't as good as you thought he was (turns out snow accumulation > surface melting is not the whole picture) and has some major potential weaknesses (marine ice sheet instability and marine ice cliff instability) which you probably really need to investigate or you might be losing in the big game. Also, call your bookie and adjust your bets appropriately.