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Many people are smart enough not to be swayed by fear based news. You’re 100x more likely to die in a car accident on your commute tomorrow than by a cartel mem
by reidjs 7y ago
Many people are smart enough not to be swayed by fear based news. You’re 100x more likely to die in a car accident on your commute tomorrow than by a cartel member in Mexico as a tourist.
- YZF 7y agoThe murder rate in Mexico is >20 per 100K per year. The car crash death rate in the US is around 11 per 100K per year. So you're almost certainly not x100 likely to die in your commute tomorrow. I've been to Mexico and I felt reasonably safe but it's a lot less safe these days and it's just not the safest place in general.
- reidjs 7y agoThanks, but I meant as a foreigner you are less likely to be murdered. It is in their best interest to keep tourists safe and happy.
- hueving 7y agoIn whose best interests? Because it's really only the cartels that matter since the law has no grip on them. And the cartel doesn't care about keeping tourists safe and happy.
- pablasso 7y agoOf course they care. Every tourist killed brings more attention to them than needed, if the person was high profile enough it can bring enough international pressure for the government to take them down.
- hombre_fatal 7y agoCould you break down the murder rate by places people actually visit? I don't look at homicides in Chicago (19 per 100k) when planning a trip to Austin.
- hsitz 7y agoI don't think many people worry about the homicide rate in Chicago when planning a trip to Chicago. Similar thing to Mexico, the homicides are contained within a pretty specific subpopulation.
- tlrobinson 7y agoWhat's the murder rate per 100K tourists per year?
- blago 7y agoWhat's the mortality rate per 100K of "good drivers" per year?
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- civility 7y agoTrue Scotsman have a very low mortality rate. To be fair, I think qualifying as a tourist is much less subjective than being called "good". As non-native to Mexico, I really am more interested in the probability "being murdered in Mexico given you're a a tourist", P(m|t), than "being murdered in Mexico", P(m).
- blago 7y ago> As non-native to Mexico, I really am more interested in the probability "being murdered in Mexico given you're a tourist"... I think a more meaningful metric for tourists is the probability of getting murdered as a tourist in Mexico vs the probability of getting murdered while on vacation in another country X.
- civility 7y agoI agree.
- blago 7y ago> True Scotsman have a very low mortality rate. Haha, I like this sentence :-)
- coldtea 7y agoWell, good drivers can still die by bad drivers hitting their car. And far more people believe they are a "good driver" than those that actually are.
- coldtea 7y ago>The murder rate in Mexico is >20 per 100K per year. The car crash death rate in the US is around 11 per 100K per year. So you're almost certainly not x100 likely to die in your commute tomorrow That would be relevant if the murder rate was randomly distributed across the population, and didn't concern cartel members and their explicit targets primarily. Not to mention that Mexico is a big place, and the murder rate in tourist areas is not the same as in cartel land...