You are absolutely right. The only way EVs are not going to overtake by 2030 would be if battery technology somehow stopped improving despite both investments i

You are absolutely right. The only way EVs are not going to overtake by 2030 would be if battery technology somehow stopped improving despite both investments in battery research and investments in battery manufacturing capacity are increasing exponentially. Already today, the expensive versions of Model S drives 370 miles / 600 km on one charge. If you live in a country with superchargers on main roads, this will be enough for all driving scenarios, whether it's the daily commute to and from work or it's the long vacation drive in mountainous regions or cold weather. In 3-4 years, similar range will be achieved by mid prized cars, and in 6-8 years, the higher end of the low prized cars will have that range. And at the same time charging networks expand rapidly, with Tesla's just being one of several. So around 2030, if you buy a cheap EV, range will simply not be an issue.