it is a weird western media quirk that the first symptom people talk about is sea level rise. I think its an accidental product of all the news reports about m

it is a weird western media quirk that the first symptom people talk about is sea level rise. I think its an accidental product of all the news reports about melting ice caps and polar bears, so people have scoped the problem as ice melting and water rising in their heads. this is basically, to a first order approximation, wrong. sea level rise, even in a nasty BAU/RCP8.5 scenario is really a next-century problem. we're talking tens of centimeters. meanwhile, vast swaths of the euphrates, indo-gangetic, nile and yellow river deltas will suffer droughts and both successive and concurrent crop failures. the flood of refugees from drought/famine/war into every city around the world will vastly exceed the flood of water at their shoreline (this century).