Phil Tetlock, the expert on experts whose research is discussed in the article, does raise this point. He also discusses the difference between being a good pr

Phil Tetlock, the expert on experts whose research is discussed in the article, does raise this point. He also discusses the difference between being a good predictor, and being good at raising interesting questions. There are some videos of him and a number of other smart folks here: https://www.edge.org/event/edge-master-class-2015-philip-tetlock-a-short-course-in-superforecasting https://www.edge.org/event/edge-master-class-2015-philip-tet...