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> If extraordinary ability is a function of a percentile of the population, then a smaller population will have fewer geniuses and prodigies in art, literature,
by aylmao 8y ago
> If extraordinary ability is a function of a percentile of the population, then a smaller population will have fewer geniuses and prodigies in art, literature, science, and politics
I doubt it is, but if so, and education just "exposes" natural talent, I wouldn't be worried. We already have a lot of natural talent in the developed world that's untapped. India alone should have 4x more geniuses than the USA.
> A smaller population leaves us poorer and less capable.
I'd like to discuss this with HN. Less capable to do what? We won. Nature won't kill us any more, we have no predators, we know how to produce more food than we need [1], transportation is so easy we get access to things from all over the world and communication so seamless we can stay in touch with anyone.
What do we need more people for?
Our largest existential enemy right now is unsustainability.
> There's no reason our current (or a larger) population isn't sustainable by changing how we generate energy or dispose of waste.
I don't think anyone really knows this to be true, and in fact I suspect it might apply to small communities, but not to the world at large.
Even if we could continue growing for now, eventually we'll reach a limit. But in any case, why do we want to keep growing?
[1]: https://www.huffpost.com/entry/world-hunger_n_1463429 https://www.huffpost.com/entry/world-hunger_n_1463429
- drak0n1c 8y agoSlate Star Codex recently did an analysis of technological progress and income growth and found that the most correlated variable was population growth. https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/04/22/1960-the-year-the-singularity-was-cancelled/ https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/04/22/1960-the-year-the-sing...
- lurquer 8y ago>Our largest existential enemy right now is unsustainability. When has 'unsustainabilty' ever caused the destruction of a large portion of a human population? Seriously. Can you think of any? The two existential threats -- the two things that can, have, and will -- wipe out millions are War and Disease. Everything else -- asteroids, climate change, sustainability -- are speculative. But, evidence-based analysis clearly points to War and Disease.
- seba_dos1 8y ago> Nature won't kill us any more I wouldn't be so sure about that ;) Everything seems to suggest that we're about to have a bad time.