The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, NY publishes probabilistic snowfall forecasts that do a good job of breaking down the confidence scores (pres

The National Weather Service office in Binghamton, NY publishes probabilistic snowfall forecasts that do a good job of breaking down the confidence scores (presumably other offices do this as well, this is just the one I'm familiar with). There's no snowfall in the forecast at the moment, but you can see how it's broken down: https://www.weather.gov/bgm/winter https://www.weather.gov/bgm/winter