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We're probably less than a century away from having the capability to edit intelligence into the genome of embryos. Certainly not more than two, assuming we don
by asdfasgasdgasdg 8y ago
We're probably less than a century away from having the capability to edit intelligence into the genome of embryos. Certainly not more than two, assuming we don't blow ourselves up. At that point in time, a child will not be shackled to the luck of their parents' genetic fortunes -- at least not because of our technical inability to break those chains. I doubt any hypothetical dysgenic effects will have become so acute by then that we'll be unable to make that advancement, although I too feel some kind of visceral concern over this issue.
Also worth noting: according to [1], women who don't finish high school are only about 50% more fertile than women who finish college, and that group represents only 20% of the population. The difference between the high school, some high school, and college cohorts is much smaller.
We also don't know exactly how well that difference in educational attainment is linked to a genetic difference. That is, it seems very likely that some of the difference in attainment is due to family socioeconomic circumstances, not an underlying genetic difference in intellect. As such, I don't think any dysgenic effects are going to be so pronounced as to cause a crisis before genetic engineering efforts can be well under way.
[1]: https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/may/9/education-level-inversely-related-to-childbearing/ https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/may/9/education-le...
- pmiller2 8y agoWe’re far closer to blowing ourselves up than 1-200 years, though. It could literally happen via nuclear war or metaphorically via irreversible climate catastrophe within 15 years, easily.