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Interesting way to look at it statistically. So if you're a top 10% programmer your odds of being a millionaire in a startup are 1/160? Just doesn't sound right

• muzani 8y ago
  What sounds wrong about it? How many top 10% programmers do you know who work in startups? And how many do you know who are millionaires? If we sampled 500 people who have worked in a startup on HN do you think 3 of them are multimillionaires? My ratio of multimillionaire startup friends are a lot higher than 1/160, but I'm pretty sure it's survival bias, because the people who have succeeded are the ones most active in the community.