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I mean the first result on google was https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-well-have-climate-models-projected-global-warming https://www.carbonbrief.org/ana
by misnome 8y ago
I mean the first result on google was https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-well-have-climate-models-projected-global-warming https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-how-well-have-climate-m... which seems to cover most of the major players, including the IPCC reports looking pretty consistent within uncertainties.
- soperj 8y agoDon't know where it gets these means from. For example. When I look at the IPCC's 4th assessment summary (https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/ar4_syr_full_report.pdf https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/ar4_syr_full...) On page 7, they have a bunch of scenarios based on various GHG emissions. From what I can tell, we're above all of them on the GHG emissions front, and under all of them on the actual temperature changes. Yet this carbon brief site says it matches exactly what has happened, so don't know what they're going off of.