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For tech, yes. But does that mean the whole economy or tech sector goes into a recession? I.e. will the fact that Uber tanks after IPO have an effect on Apple?
by charlesdm 7y ago
For tech, yes. But does that mean the whole economy or tech sector goes into a recession? I.e. will the fact that Uber tanks after IPO have an effect on Apple?
- rapsey 7y ago2008 was a housing bubble and it cut everyone at the knees.
- T-A 7y agoHousing is a huge component of the US economy. Total value in 2018: $33.3 trillion [1], 1.6x GDP (20.9 trillion) [2]. Tech is about 5% of GDP [3]. [1] https://www.housingwire.com/articles/47847-us-housing-market-value-climbs-to-333-trillion-in-2018 https://www.housingwire.com/articles/47847-us-housing-market... [2] https://www.thebalance.com/u-s-gdp-5-latest-statistics-and-how-to-use-them-3306041 https://www.thebalance.com/u-s-gdp-5-latest-statistics-and-h... [3] http://www.ianhathaway.org/blog/2017/5/31/how-big-is-the-tech-sector http://www.ianhathaway.org/blog/2017/5/31/how-big-is-the-tec...
- opportune 7y agoYou're comparing the total value of all housing to GDP vs. an actual percent of GDP. That's not an apples to apples comparison. A quick lookup tells me construction is about 4% of GDP. And financing/ancillary services for that construction, if I had to estimate, might make up another 2% at most. Which is pretty close to tech
- T-A 7y agoYes, but what happened in 2008, and caused the crisis referred to by rapsey, was that housing lost a large fraction of its value. It was not a drop in construction, financing etc that tanked the economy; it was the loss of value, which left a giant hole in balance sheets. The apples-to-oranges comparison was introduced by rapsey, I merely provided the numbers.