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It's just a good time to file, the end of 10 year bull market right before next year's recession
by gdsdfe 7y ago
It's just a good time to file, the end of 10 year bull market right before next year's recession
- colinbartlett 7y agoI find it amusing how confidently you state that. As if completely ignoring all the people who have said that same thing every year for the past 5.
- gdsdfe 7y agoSo you think it will be an indefinite bull market or that the recession won't happen next year?
- evanriley 7y agoThere obviously won't be an indefinite bull market, but why are you so confident it will happen next year?
- gdsdfe 7y agoI am not, nobody is ... But a lot of people more knowledgeable than me in this area say it's highly probable we'll have one next year or early 2021. The 'when' don't matter much in this context, alot of people are expecting one and it's coming which makes it an ideal time to IPO
- chrismarlow9 7y agohttps://www.google.com/amp/s/www.vox.com/platform/amp/2019/3/25/18279705/yield-curve-inversion-recession-explained https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.vox.com/platform/amp/2019/3...
- chrismarlow9 7y agoYield inversion chart has been a reliable indicator for nearly all recessions
- zhte415 7y agoThere has been a recession in the US +/- 2 years of the end of every decade for the past 160+ years. That sounds a bit hand-wavey / crystal ball / technical analysis, but has reasons in fundamentals: Several years of collective prosperity decrease risk aversion, low inflation / money targets (thus interest rates) make (over) investment cheap (offices, tall buildings, capital stock, etc), collective memory fades. Certainly not written in stone, however. A book recommendation covering the above, and influence of such fundamentals in long term financial trends: Irrational Exuberance by Robert J Shiller.
- austenallred 7y ago> right before next year's recession How big is your short position?
- gdsdfe 7y agoI don't trade, just an observer