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My previous guess for a roadmap [0]: 1) Pixels move to Fuchsia, native apps are in Dart/Flutter, compatibility layer for Android. Fuchsia becomes a distinguish
by oflannabhra 8y ago
My previous guess for a roadmap [0]:
1) Pixels move to Fuchsia, native apps are in Dart/Flutter, compatibility layer for Android. Fuchsia becomes a distinguishing feature of Googles hardware, and allows Google to differentiate vs Android competitors.
2) Google continues to support Android, but only as it affects their business interests (as a funnel for search).
3) Google migrates some service level functionality away from Android and Pixels become a first-class citizen in Google's ecosystem.
In my mind, Fuchsia is a direct result of Google's newfound interest in hardware (as a business). I imagine the following:
- Google sees voice (and maybe AR) as the next frontier, which is actually an existential threat for them--they are harder to monetize via ads.
- Google decides to start making hardware (for profit), to monetize their services (a la Apple). That is, their Voice Assistant is now differentiated from Android, and to use that service, you have to buy their hardware. Now, they don't need to make money on ads for voice searches.
- Google will continue to roll out more ML-driven services that are exclusive to their hardware, and eventually, exclusive to Fuchsia. This will allow them to both a) further differentiate their hardware from other Android manufacturers, b) better monetize their services (effectively through HW purchases), and c) steal market share of the most valuable customers from Apple.
[0] - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16568275#16569138 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16568275#16569138