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So long as any form of automation has existed, people have been claiming that the sky is falling and that automation will put people out of work. And in some re
by douglaswlance 7y ago
So long as any form of automation has existed, people have been claiming that the sky is falling and that automation will put people out of work. And in some respects it does, but in the grand scheme of things, quality of life improves and people find work.
In the most simple terms it works like this:
1. Workers create Automated systems.
2. Automated systems create wealth.
3. Wealth creates workers.
And the cycle repeats, ad infinitum.
So long as there are people with money, there will be jobs to be done. Perhaps in the future, AI employers will hire human workers that are trained by AI educators to do human tasks. There may come a time where AI/Robotics are better than humans at every task, and when that day comes, humans will compete on price, and when they're priced out of the market, they'll either merge with the machines or simply be left behind. But that time is many hundreds of years away, and I'm not convinced that machines would even want to stay on Earth. Space is much more conducive to a machine society.
- noego 7y agoWell said. Job creation is not the hard part. Eliminating jobs is. Every time a job becomes automated, the workers eventually find other industries/professions to work in, boost aggregate productivity in those other sectors, and thus end up creating more wealth for society as a whole. https://outlookzen.com/2019/01/05/prosperity-comes-from-eliminating-jobs-not-saving-them/ https://outlookzen.com/2019/01/05/prosperity-comes-from-elim...
- canjobear 7y ago“Eventually” is the key word. Lives can be ruined during that eventually, and some don’t make it.
- douglaswlance 7y agoThe same AI that puts people out of work, will be used to make complex tasks simple enough for unskilled workers, as well as training those unskilled workers to be more skilled.
- chillacy 7y agoAutomation does put individuals out of work. The last industrial revolution had violent protests and resulted in a slew of new legislation and social programs. Later we collectively have always recovered and found new ways to trade time for money but much like how evolution works, individuals don’t always fare well when the environment changes.
- douglaswlance 7y agoThe primary way we adapted to automation in the Industrial Revolution is with public education. When AI starts really affecting the human job market, we will see advances in AI and VR education that will fill the gap by teaching humans with methods that will be more effective than any in history. Imagine one-to-one instruction with an intelligent AI that has access to all of human knowledge with infinite patience and works for peanuts. Then pair that with total immersion VR and you have a compelling education platform for training just about anything.