3 ms·
Predicting weather it will rain or not today would be a killer app, and I'm still waiting.
by tus87 7y ago
Predicting weather it will rain or not today would be a killer app, and I'm still waiting.
- pas 7y agoAgreed. It turns out storm system movements are easier to predict than local precipitation. Aggregates of a system are easier to predict than localized/point values. https://www.precisionag.com/systems-management/data/betting-on-rain-the-accuracy-and-reliability-of-precipitation-forecasts/ https://www.precisionag.com/systems-management/data/betting-... - this is about how effective and useful forecasts are (the are useful, because we have calibrated forecasts, so we can use them for objective decision support for agriculture) https://www.telegraph.co.uk/gardening/problem-solving/ken-thompson-forecasts-rain-likely-wrong/ https://www.telegraph.co.uk/gardening/problem-solving/ken-th... - this is about how relatively dry places (like the US or UK) usually get a lot of misprediction, even if the accuracy is 90%. (But it's not, it's more like 80-85%.)