3 ms·
IanaEE, but I am a CE: The human brain has 10e15 synapses [1] and 2.5 petabytes of storage[2]. A modern quad core processor has about 7e8[3] transistors. Now
by Benjo 16y ago
IanaEE, but I am a CE:
The human brain has 10e15 synapses [1] and 2.5 petabytes of storage[2]. A modern quad core processor has about 7e8[3] transistors.
Now the brains switches and storage probably can't be directly equated to a processor, but presumably it is within a few orders of magnitude. A conservate estimate would require about 10e6 times the density to get the same density as the human brain on a chip. 10e6 ~ 2^20, so that's about 20 years assuming Moore's Law holds.
So in terms of raw performance, we have a ways to go.
Memristors are about 10 times as dense as transistors currently [4]. They also offer non-volatile storage in addition to processing power and the possibility of fitting in a three dimensional structure. I won't guess what this imlies, but I assume it's going to get us much closer to a circuit similar to a human brain.
Am I wrong? Probably somewhere. Does any of this matter? I have no idea. We won't know until we try. Personally, I'm VERY excited about the possibilities behind memristors, and wish I understood them better. I can't think of a development in the past 20 years that has more potential to advance computers.
[1] http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1920485 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1920485 and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_brain http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_brain
[2] http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=what-is-the-memory-capacity http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=what-is-the...
[3] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nehalem_(microarchitecture) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nehalem_(microarchitecture)
[4] http://www.physorg.com/news156526733.html http://www.physorg.com/news156526733.html
- Someone 16y agoFollowing your reasoning: on the one hand adjusting for volume easily gains three orders of magnitude. On the other hand, there is the issue of power. The human brain takes about the same amount of power as a top of the line quad core processor. For now, I do not think either of these matter, though. We simply do not know enough of how the human brain works to warrant attempting to build one. Physicists didn't start by building the LHC, either.
- gnosis 16y ago"Now the brains switches and storage probably can't be directly equated to a processor, but presumably it is within a few orders of magnitude." What makes you say that? Also, what makes you think the difference is one of quantity and not of quality?