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On the contrary, humans are keen on extrapolating "linearly", ignoring that progress is discrete, and that the next discrete step isn't on any guaranteed timeli
by tyree731 8y ago
On the contrary, humans are keen on extrapolating "linearly", ignoring that progress is discrete, and that the next discrete step isn't on any guaranteed timeline. See: humanity's idea of the next twenty years of space exploration in 1970.
- deleted 8y ago[deleted]
- misthop 8y agoHumanity's ideas of space travel 1970-1990 were right on, assuming US government investment had remained the same (4.4% in 1966, <= 1.01% since 1975) https://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2010/feb/01/nasa-budgets-us-spending-space-travel https://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2010/feb/01/nasa-b...