Maybe I misunderstand your argument, but doesn't that linked page have a section "How the forecast has changed"[1]? [1] https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20

Maybe I misunderstand your argument, but doesn't that linked page have a section "How the forecast has changed"[1]? [1] https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast#odds https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/...