I stopped paying attention when Silver said the Buckeyes only had a 2 percent chance to win the title, because I knew that was bogus, team was stacked. Then he

I stopped paying attention when Silver said the Buckeyes only had a 2 percent chance to win the title, because I knew that was bogus, team was stacked. Then he did the same thing with the Cavs when they turned around and won, so it just seemed to fit what Taleb says about "predictors" in The Black Swan. Since then, I don't listen much to forecasters, their track record is dubious.