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https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/epistemology-bayesian/supplement2.html https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/epistemology-bayesian/sup... >Not following at all

• et2o 8y ago
  Ah, interesting link. I think I ran into some confusion since 'rational' and 'Bayesian' are somewhat overloaded terms. When I think of Bayesian analysis, I always think of Bayesian models which attempt to model uncertainty and always have a posterior distribution (spread) of outcomes. For example, in the Dutch Book page, instead of having a point-prior (P=0.51 (delta on P=0.51?)), each degree of belief could have some (different) distribution which could yield a posterior with a distribution and change the math here.
  • ikeboy 8y ago
    Yeah well there's a difference if you're estimating a parameter or predicting true/false on an event.
    • et2o 8y ago
      Not sure about that, think about the case of (Bayesian) logistic regression.