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Even if parent were making the comment you thought you were relying to, you're in a bubble if you genuinely believe that ICEs are going to be regulated out of e
by reitzensteinm 8y ago
Even if parent were making the comment you thought you were relying to, you're in a bubble if you genuinely believe that ICEs are going to be regulated out of existence any time soon.
- cagenut 8y agoassuming 15 years for 100% fleet turnover and a target of zero carbon-emissions from gasoline/cars in the US by 2040, new ICEs will need to be banned in about six years.
- tgsovlerkhgsel 8y agoAnd how likely, according to your estimate, is this to actually happen, vs. the target falling in the category of "I love deadlines and the whooshing sound they make as they fly by"?
- cagenut 8y agothings only get worse the more we procrastinate. it is a compounding debt.
- toomuchtodo 8y agohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phase-out_of_fossil_fuel_vehicles#Countries_with_a_full_ban_enacted_into_law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phase-out_of_fossil_fuel_vehic... Costa Rica has banned new combustion vehicle sales as of 2021, Norway 2025, and other countries 2030-2040. As EVs go mainstream, I expect those deadlines to be pulled forward.
- reitzensteinm 8y agoCosta Rica installed their first public charger in 2017, and has a $10k GDP per capita. The details in this Clean Technica article are damning for this claim. It's pure post election puffery and the plan will be quietly set aside. Norway is aggressive, but the rest of Europe is generally targeting 2030. I'm not expecting the US to even come close to the EU, as range is a much larger factor there. https://cleantechnica.com/2018/12/31/costa-rica-is-on-the-brink-of-an-evolution-cleantechnica-exclusive/ https://cleantechnica.com/2018/12/31/costa-rica-is-on-the-br...
- m463 8y agoI agree with you. However, I can't help but think that a shift in economics might be the method of changing over, maybe rather quickly.