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The article fails to support this level of alarmism. Yes, it can be abused, but it's just a statistical modeling technique. Even linear correlation can be abuse
by andrewla 8y ago
The article fails to support this level of alarmism. Yes, it can be abused, but it's just a statistical modeling technique. Even linear correlation can be abused as well, vis a vis the replication crisis in the social sciences.
The danger of AI abuse is that existing large, powerful entities will put too much faith in statistical models without understanding their limitations, and will make bad decisions that harm people. Fortunately we have a filtering function -- entities that use these techniques with more nuance will slowly replace the failing ones because they are making better decisions. There will be a long transition as governments desperately try to save the dinosaurs from the consequences of their poor decision making, but if they can't make the transition, they're going to cease being relevant.
AI abuse is just statistical abuse. If a bank has a model based on ten years of real estate data that says, "hey, real estate increases in value, we should leverage into that", then come 2008 they'll find that things that their neat statistical model stated don't work any more. That's all the "dangers of abuse" are.
- AlexCoventry 8y ago> The article fails to support this level of alarmism Maybe you missed the section where he said "Killer drones are a big concern." and "A lot of what is most concerning is not happening in broad daylight. It’s happening in military labs, in security organizations, in private companies providing services to governments or the police." > it's just a statistical modeling technique ...and gunpowder is just a chemical.
- tehsauce 8y agoThis is a spot on analysis. The danger is not that the system itself is too powerful, it's that powerful entities are putting so much faith in these systems that when they fail it's catastrophic
- WalterSear 8y agoSome of those 'statistical models' can already play DOTA better than some of the best players in the world.