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With some personal interest and research I've judged for two decades, (before the IPCC managed to reach consensus) that the potential economic performance of wi
by strainer 8y ago
With some personal interest and research I've judged for two decades, (before the IPCC managed to reach consensus) that the potential economic performance of wind and solar is constantly under-estimated and this belief, (admittedly partly intuitive) has year after year been proven true. Even while lacking investment programs of trillions of dollars into R&D which would have been entirely sensible and affordable, proven by greater amounts spent on conflict in the name of security.
I find it beyond justification or excuse how major official forecasters can year after year be so vision-less and pessimistic. We can make floating deep-sea wind farms - and floating solar. We can make better and better batteries and storage facilities as soon as dispatchability and curtailment are close to being a significant cost in a handful of places. Cost of renewable energy has cruised downward with tepid incentives provided by governments. It can plummet within years of serious international public investment in R&D.
There's really no excuse for persistently pessimistic predictions like this [1], from major and professional industry forecasters -
[1] http://www.mining.com/web/charts-energy-experts-hilariously-bad-forecasting-solar-installations/ http://www.mining.com/web/charts-energy-experts-hilariously-...