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> It is kinda amazing that Elon Musk is selling cars based on speculative future breakthroughs in technology. That must be a first. It is. But it's not that un
by erikpukinskis 8y ago
> It is kinda amazing that Elon Musk is selling cars based on speculative future breakthroughs in technology. That must be a first.
It is. But it's not that unusual these days: it's basically a Kickstarter!
Well, not exactly. Kickstarter projects have no responsibility to ever deliver. They just have to make a good faith effort.
Tesla has to eventually deliver some version of full self driving to customers, but they made sure not to say when.
So it's hard for me to see the legal liability for them. How can someone sue for a product that was never guaranteed a delivery date?
Worst case would be a lot of customers demanding refunds: which I doubt Tesla would fight.
So I guess that's the liability on the books: some % of $5000 refunds.
But a lot of customers will be happy with whatever they deliver whenever they deliver it. It doesn't feel like an existential risk to me.
Part of why it doesnt faze me is Tesla has so many knobs they can dial here. They can decide where FSD is enabled: if it works only on roads where the autopilot is highly confident, and only during good weather conditions, that probably fulfills their legal obligations.
This is why I think self-driving bears are wrong.... They argue computers will never be able to handle every corner case, which is true. But it only needs to work for one slice of drivers in one location for there to be a market, and from there it's just an iterative process to grow the service area.
It's like arguing my ice cream shop will fail because many people are lactose intolerant, pale, vegan, etc. Sure, but to have a successful business I just need one customer, then two, then four. And I get to choose which customers I court.
Tesla is the same wrt FSD.