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You can see how fixed rate mortgages trend during periods of recession here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/
by smallgovt 8y ago
You can see how fixed rate mortgages trend during periods of recession here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US
Using this data, you can make some guesstimates on how waiting might effect your home purchasing decision.
By my read, mortgage rates tend to decrease during a recession. However, mortgage rates are already very low, so the potential savings may not be meaningful.
- vijayr02 8y agoWouldn't the larger driver be a potential fall in house prices?
- smallgovt 8y agoWith the exception of the 2008 financial crisis, housing prices typically appreciate during times of recession, albeit more modestly. My guess is that this is primarily driven by falling mortgage rates. "The FHFA U.S. house price index rose by an average of 7.4 percent in the year prior to a recession and prices rose an average of 2.7 percent from the start of a recession to the end" [ https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/11/housing-could-be-an-unlikely-place-to-hide-out-if-a-recession-is-coming.html https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/11/housing-could-be-an-unlikely... ]
- dragonwriter 8y ago> With the exception of the 2008 financial crisis, housing prices typically appreciate during times of recession, albeit more modestly. My guess is that this is primarily driven by falling mortgage rates My guess is that it's a smaller market with less price sensitive buyers, based on who can afford to buy and who is therefore likely to sell during a recession (the late 00s recession being different because of the central role of the housing market collapse in that recession.)