5 ms·

Suggestion: require "skin in the game" ie. make predictors risk something of value (with commensurate chance of gain if their prediction manifests). This would

Suggestion: require "skin in the game" ie. make predictors risk something of value (with commensurate chance of gain if their prediction manifests). This would likely increase prediction quality/accuracy.

HHalvi 8y ago
Whenever you get stuff wrong show "Oh, That was a Black Swan" somewhere ;)
unusximmortalis 8y ago
Who will validate the predictions? Manual validation will not scale.
- MRD85 8y ago
  Who will determine the odds of predictions?
  - Y_Y 8y ago
    People can offer bets, those with differing views can take the bets. You can even make a market with floating odds like BetFair used to.
deleted 8y ago
[deleted]
Geee 8y ago
There's Augur https://www.augur.net/ https://www.augur.net/ that's a decentralized protocol for predictions. You can bet on predictions or use the prediction and outcome data in your decisions.